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Random Ballot: Voting Method, Election, Referendum, Probability
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| Please note that the content of this book primarily consists of articles
available from Wikipedia or other free sources online. The random ballot
is a hypothetical voting method; in an election or referendum, the
ballot of a single voter is selected at random, and that ballot decides
the result of the election. In this way, each candidate or option wins
with a probability exactly equal to the fraction of the electorate
favouring that candidate or option. The random ballot method is
decisive, in that there is no possibility of a tied vote, assuming that
the selected voter has expressed a preference (if not then another
ballot can be selected at random). It is unbiased in that the
probability of a particular result is equal to the proportion of total
support that that result has in all the votes. It is also strategy-free
in that there is no advantage in tactical voting. But it is not
deterministic, in that a different random selection could have produced
a different result, and it does not conform to majority rule since there
is a substantial possibility that the selected voter may be in the
minority. |
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